MARKETOBSERVATORY · PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS

Four synthetic regimes

2024-01-02 to 2025-02-24 · 300 aligned observations · rebalance

Portfolio growth

Start: 1.000End: 1.042

Read the curve: 1.000 is the starting value. A value of 1.100 means 10% growth over the aligned window. Equal horizontal spacing represents observations, not elapsed calendar time.

Historical metrics

Swipe the table to see every metric.

SeriesReturnCAGRAnnualized volatilityMax drawdown
Portfolio4.20%3.65%6.06%-7.31%
AURORA6.47%5.62%17.08%-20.83%
CIRRUS14.28%12.34%5.58%-3.50%
HARBOR2.00%1.74%2.34%-1.99%
TERRA-6.96%-6.10%13.00%-21.98%
How to read these metrics
Return
Change over this aligned window.
CAGR
The constant annual growth rate equivalent, using elapsed calendar days.
Annualized volatility
Variation in observation returns, scaled using the configured observation frequency.
Max drawdown
The largest decline from a previous peak in this window.

These describe the supplied history. They do not predict future returns.

Dataset provenance

Title
Four synthetic regimes
Source
Bundled deterministic synthetic fixture; seed 20260923
As Of
2025-02-24
Price Basis
synthetic
Notes
Fictional symbols: AURORA growth-like, CIRRUS defensive-like, HARBOR low-variance, TERRA cyclical-like. 300 weekday observations with a designed drawdown interval. No prices describe a real security.

Interpretation limits

  • Historical price analysis only. No forecast, recommendation, fees, taxes or transaction costs.
  • Returns use exact shared observation dates; gaps are not filled. Volatility annualization assumes equally spaced periods at the selected frequency.
  • CAGR extrapolates using elapsed calendar days and is unstable over short samples.
  • This dataset is synthetic. Symbols and results do not describe real investments.

Reproduction record

{
  "settings": {
    "symbols": [
      "AURORA",
      "CIRRUS",
      "HARBOR",
      "TERRA"
    ],
    "weights": {
      "AURORA": 0.25,
      "CIRRUS": 0.25,
      "HARBOR": 0.25,
      "TERRA": 0.25
    },
    "mode": "rebalance",
    "periods_per_year": 252.0,
    "initial_value": 10000.0
  },
  "provenance": {
    "source_sha256": "1782c1375f37848bf348c7fc524e10d8d276bdf532960ff089f0217af75267bb",
    "data_sha256": "d849246e0675b4733ec1d27f5629df822ee0f208685caebae3949473d08e788b",
    "observations": 1200
  },
  "coverage": [
    {
      "symbol": "AURORA",
      "available": 300,
      "retained": 300,
      "excluded": 0
    },
    {
      "symbol": "CIRRUS",
      "available": 300,
      "retained": 300,
      "excluded": 0
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HARBOR",
      "available": 300,
      "retained": 300,
      "excluded": 0
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TERRA",
      "available": 300,
      "retained": 300,
      "excluded": 0
    }
  ],
  "engine_version": "1.0.1"
}

The report contains the source details, assumptions, aligned observations, and calculated results.